It is my
contention that there may be more to this world than meets
have no psychic ability whatsoever. If there is an
Invisible Word, then I am not the one seeing it.
Therefore I have no choice but to use the only two powers
available to me... Logic and Observation... to
figure out what is going on. In other words, I am no
different than the next guy. I am in the same boat as
boats, I wish to use the Titanic Disaster, a
story we are all familiar with, to help illustrate what my
book is about. No disaster has been more analyzed and
discussed. What bothers me the most about the sinking
of the Titanic is the sense that there was
something 'weird' about that disaster.
At the inquiry,
Charles Lightoller, the Titanic's surviving
Second Officer, stated:
was the victim of an extraordinary set of circumstances
that could only happen once in a hundred years.
Normally there would have been no problem, but on this
particularly freakish night, everything was against us."
Once in a
hundred years, eh?
Given that I am
a Logical person with an understanding of statistics, I am a
huge fan of Improbability. I believe Mr.
Lightoller was attempting to say the Titanic Disaster
was highly improbable. Whenever I come across the word
'Improbable', I go on Supernatural Alert. Was
the Titanic Disaster meant to be?
As you read my
story, you will discover in addition to my love of the word
'improbable', I am also a big fan of the words 'maybe',
'perhaps', plus 'who can say?'
There is no
certainty that the Titanic Disaster was a
Fated event. Nor will there be complete certainty when
I discuss 25 unusual situations in my story. The
nature of Circumstantial Evidence is that we observe, we
wonder, and then we render a verdict.
No matter what
we decide, we always know there is room for error.
That is the nature of Probability. On the other hand,
if ever there was a tragedy that had 'Fate'
written all over it, that would be the Titanic.
In his classic
book Night to Remember, Walter Lord blamed the
Titanic disaster on a 'terrible
unsinkable! God Himself could not sink this ship!!"
The word 'unsinkable'
rhymes with 'unthinkable'. And yet the ship
I live my life
by two rules, Realistic and Mystic.
To me, 'unsinkable'
means that Realistically speaking, if we accept Mr.
Lightoller's estimate, there is only a small one in a
hundred chance something will go wrong . Most people
would have pegged it closer to one in a million, but let us
To me, 'unthinkable'
means that Mystically speaking, some things are meant to
happen no matter what the odds.
As for me, my
Realistic set of Rules say that if I drive too fast in
traffic, I am more likely to have an accident. My
Mystic set of Rules say that some things are meant to be no
matter what precautions I take. So I am always
careful, but when something happens that makes no sense, I
assume it must be Fate. I have learned
to accept that some things happen for a reason. I
clean up the mess and try to learn my lesson.
In my book, I
discuss the theory of Cosmic Stupidity.
What is Cosmic Stupidity? Think 'Divine
Inspiration', then flip it 180°.
If it is true that Fate plays a part in our lives, then I
believe it is possible for our common sense to be suspended
at certain key points in our life. I will use the
Titanic disaster to make my point.
One of the
reasons people are fascinated with the Titanic
to this day is the freak nature of the accident. First
of all, the ship was considered unsinkable. Second,
the ship had to hit the iceberg at a near impossible angle
to expose a small, yet fatal weakness. Third, what
were the odds of hitting an iceberg in the middle of
As it turns out,
the chances of the Titanic hitting some rogue
iceberg were not as remote as it may seem. The
Titanic was approaching a known ice field. In
fact, just three days before the Titanic
disaster, there was a major collision in the same area.
On the night of
April 11, 1912, an ocean liner named Niagara
slammed straight into an iceberg in the icy north Atlantic.
Passengers above were thrown from their chairs.
Passengers below rushed in terror to the decks.
Although the ship's bow was badly buckled, no one was hurt.
The ship limped onwards to reach New York in safety.
This event took place in the exact same ice field that the
Titanic was approaching.
On the same
evening as the disaster, a ship named the Californian
was heading west on a course near to the Titanic.
In the evening twilight, there was barely enough light left
for Captain Lord to spot the ice field. Captain Lord
ordered the helm hard right and the engines full astern.
The ship's head swung rapidly to the right but it was too
late. The ship actually entered the loose margins of
the ice field, but was unharmed. Shaken by the near
miss, Lord decided to stop and wait until morning to proceed
the bridge, Lord saw a ship's light to the east. As
the officers spoke, they too saw the ship's lights
approaching. Captain Lord went to the wireless room to
find out if the operator knew of any ships in the area.
Evans informed Captain Lord that he did: “only the
Titanic.” A warning was sent at 07:30 pm, but it
Indeed, on the
day of the disaster, the Titanic had received
iceberg warnings from five different ships, the Caronia,
the Athenia, the Amerika, the Californian,
and the Mesaba.
At 09:00 am,
Titanic received the first of the ice warnings
from Caronia. Captain Smith of the
Titanic acknowledged he had received the warning
in the early afternoon and posted it for his officers
At 01:42 pm,
Captain Smith received a warning from the Greek ship
Athenia that she was passing ice bergs and large
quantities of field ice. This warning was acknowledged by
Smith. However, the later warnings from the
Amerika, the Mesaba, and the
Californian apparently never reached Captain Smith.
Even though the
three later warnings never reached Captain Smith, he cannot
Over the past four days,
21 radio warnings
from ships that there was a deadly
ice field directly
in the ship's path.
men on the
knew full well there was danger
That ice wall
that stopped Captain Lord and the Californian
in its tracks was ominous indeed. Later research
indicated the Titanic did not even make it to
the heart of the ice field. Instead, the Titanic
probably hit an iceberg at the very edge. In other
words, the Titanic never had a chance of
getting through at night. Too many obstacles.
The irony becomes even more intense when one remembers the
iceberg warning from the Amerika earlier in
the day was sent from practically this exact spot.
This disregard for safety cannot be explained in any
sensible way. One can only assume that Captain Smith
put too much faith in the ability of his spotters to detect
Smith was an experienced sailor. He was about to
retire, but was persuaded to stick around to take the
Titanic on its maiden voyage.
Captain Smith should have known how difficult it was to spot
a giant iceberg in the dead of night.
At the very
least, Smith could have slowed down. One would think
given the numerous iceberg warnings by wireless over the
previous few days, Smith would proceed cautiously. So
what did Smith do? Did he stop the ship as night
approached? No. Did he at least slow the ship
down? No. The conclusion of the official British
inquiry said the Titanic was going much too
fast for these conditions.
What Smith did do was post two men at the front of the ship.
One of the watchman, a man named Frederick Fleet, survived
to tell his story. He reported being frantic with
worry. As he peered desperately into the darkness, he
understood clearly the safety of the ship depended on him.
But he couldn't see a thing in the gloom!!
Experienced sailors report that in these dark conditions a
ship can come as close as a quarter of a mile - 440 yards -
before spotting an iceberg. Indeed, the Titanic
lookouts actually did better than that. Evidence
suggests the Titanic lookouts spotted the
iceberg at a distance of 500 yards away. But that
still wasn't good enough.
Given the ice field conditions that Smith was well aware of
and given the darkness which eliminated any realistic chance
of spotting an iceberg from a distance, it was foolhardy to
be moving so fast.
Titanic was sailing at 22 knots that night, a pretty
fast clip. If the men were to spot an iceberg at 440
yards away, at the speed they were moving there was not
enough time to avoid the obstacle. At 22 knots,
the giant ship would have needed 850 yards to stop. It
is one thing to have a slim margin for error, but these
calculations show the Titanic never had a
In The Night Lives On, Walter Lord's follow-up
book about the Titanic, Lord wrote:
"Captain Smith was aware of the ice
ahead. He did not slow down because he was sure
that on this clear night any iceberg could be spotted in
time to avoid it. In reaching that decision, Smith did
not feel that he was doing anything rash. He was
following the practice of all captains on the Atlantic
Although we will
never understand what Captain Smith was thinking, his
decisions made no sense. One Captain stopped rather than
risk his ship; another maintained a reckless speed. In
certain situations, some people have judgment; some don't.
The officers on the
bridge were quite aware of the fact that they would coming
up on ice. So why would an experienced shipmaster like
Edward Smith deliberately put his ship in harm's way by
speeding through an ice field known to contain giant
So what is the difference between Real
Stupidity and Cosmic Stupidity? It is the same thing
as Ordinary and Extra-ordinary, Rational Stupidity versus
Irrational Stupidity. When someone is stupid all the
time, we assume he is Ordinarily very stupid. But when
a Captain with 50 years of naval experience behaves in such
a colossally stupid way, you have to sit back and wonder
about this. Doesn't Smith deserve the benefit of
My theory of
Cosmic Stupidity says that at certain key points
in our life, our common sense becomes temporarily paralyzed.
I understand this is a controversial theory and I also
understand I have no way to prove it. However, I do
have Captain Smith.
Captain Smith is
the poster boy for Cosmic Stupidity.
Yes, he made a terrible miscalculation and thereby goes down
in history as the idiot responsible for perhaps the most
famous blunder of all times. But has it ever crossed
your mind that his judgment might have been suspended by
In other words,
if there is such a thing as 'Fate', then there has to
be a mechanism by which it works. If the Titanic
was meant to hit an iceberg, why not persuade Captain Smith
to behave in a totally irrational manner?
did not slow down because he was sure that on this clear
night any iceberg could be spotted in time to avoid it.
In reaching that decision, Smith did not feel that he
was doing anything rash.'
Could there be a
darker reason why Smith never received the last three
warnings? And how do we explain why Captain Smith had
no idea how badly he had miscalculated the difficulty of
seeing an iceberg at night? Looking at it this way,
Captain Smith may have been blinded. If so, blinded by
whom? Blinded by Fate? Who can say?
This is what I
mean when I say perhaps we need to look at things from a
totally different perspective. Where exactly do ideas
come from? Perhaps some of our best ideas and worst
decisions come from a place totally beyond our awareness.
friends, is what this book is about.
Much of our
lives is utterly predictable. Day to Day Ho-hum
Ordinary. But once in a while something happens that
is so unlikely we have to take a step back and ask ourselves
if we really know what is going on. Maybe it is time
to look at things in a different way. I speak here of
a concept known as
I believe that
when something very 'improbable' occurs, it may have a far deeper meaning
than we realize. Could a Coincidence
actually be evidence that the events of man are manipulated
behind the scenes by the Cosmos? I think everyone
would agree it would be a lot easier to accept the existence
of God if Jesus would return to walk on water or reappear to
raise some more people from the dead.
are no longer the days when events
such as the parting of the Red Sea are commonplace, at least not
to my knowledge. Since modern
miracles are few and far between, in my search for evidence
of God's existence, I have settled on mysterious
coincidences and improbable events as my best bet.
So what exactly
do I consider a Coincidence to be? I
just happen to have a very good example.
In 1898, Morgan Robertson wrote a book
titled Futility. The
subtitle was The Wreck of the Titan.
The similarities in this book to the
actual wreck of the Titanic are uncanny. In the fictional version
as well as the actual event, both ships
struck an iceberg in the middle of the
fictional collision and the actual collision took
at midnight in mid-April.
The Titan disaster took place
400 miles from
disaster took place 400 miles from
In the book, since the Titan was
considered unsinkable, it carried far too
few lifeboats, "as
few as the law allowed."
that sound familiar?
book, more than half of
the Titan's 2500
In real life, more than half
passengers and crew died.
Morgan Robertson was a well-known writer of short
stories, Robertson became deeply
frustrated when no one would publish his
book. The rejection letters all said
the same thing.
but no one will
ever believe this story."
publication date is correct. The actual Titanic sinking took place in 1912.
Robertson wrote his book 14 years
prior to the actual event.
Does this story
prove anything? No, of course not. But it certainly
gives us a legitimate reason to be open-minded.
Coincidence and Cosmic Stupidity are
concepts that appear with startling regularity throughout my story.
As you will see, there are times when my own story is just
as weird as the Titanic story.
It is my hope
that my unusual Saga speaks for itself. However,
ultimately it is up to the Reader to reach their own