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					The 
					Sinking of the Titanic - The World's Most Famous Disaster
 
 Written by Rick Archer
 May 1, 2012
 
							Forward The 1912 
							sinking of the Titanic one hundred years ago is 
							still considered to be the most famous Disaster of 
							all time.   Why?  
							Why is the Titanic disaster the most famous of them 
							all?  This 
							article will attempt to answer that question.  
							One warning - this article is not light reading.  
							Reading about disasters can be pretty depressing. |  |  
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					"Iceberg, Right Ahead!!" 
					At 11:40 pm on April 14, 1912, those 
					words rung out on the bridge of the Titanic.  Reacting 
					quickly, 
					First Officer
					Murdoch ordered an abrupt turn to port and full speed 
					astern to reverse the engines 
					driving the outer propellers. 
					Thanks to the sharp turn, the 
					ship's starboard side
					clearly missed the visible part of the 
					iceberg.  However, beneath the water, the massive 
					iceberg was much wider.  
					 
					The underside of the Titanic brushed 
					against the deadly edges of 
					the iceberg.  This buckled 
					the hull in several places and popped 
					out rivets below the waterline. The 
					glancing blow created a 
					total of six leaks in the first five watertight 
					compartments. Murdoch then ordered hard right rudder, which 
					swung Titanic's stern away from the iceberg. 
					The Titanic could sustain damage to four 
					compartments, but the fifth compartment was breached 
					for 10-15 feet.  This was the killer 
					blow.  The watertight doors 
					were shut, but this only postponed the 
					inevitable sinking.  At 2:20 am, the 
					Titanic would permanently disappear beneath the freezing 
					waters of the Northern Atlantic. |  |  |  
			
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					IS THE TITANIC THE DISASTER OF ALL DISASTERS?
 It has now been 
					100 years since the sinking of the Titanic.  Since then 
					there have been disasters with a far higher casualty list 
					and much greater financial loss.  And yet the Titanic 
					story is one of the most enduring disaster tales all of 
					time.   Why? 
					 That's the 
					question I asked myself.  Why, for example, is the 
					Titanic story more important to us than the San Francisco 
					earthquake or the Galveston Hurricane that both take place 
					in the era of the Titanic?  How does the Titanic story 
					manage to stay relevant today 100 years after it took place.
					 In order to 
					answer my own question, first I decided to investigate all 
					the famous disasters of the last 100 years or so.  
 Here at Casa Archer, my lovely wife Marla is the 
					unquestioned 
					Master of Disaster. She watches End of the World movies with 
					the same regularity that kids watch cartoons.
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					Marla's favorite time of the day to watch 
					disaster movies is the wee hours of the morning.  Marla is a lousy 
					sleeper, but for some strange reason she automatically goes 
					to sleep one hour into any disaster movie. So she keeps four 
					disaster movies on our DVR just in case she needs a sleep 
					aid at 2 am. 
 Marla watches them on a rotating basis. On any particular 
					night of the week I might wake up and see Marla watching 
					The Day After Tomorrow. The next night it might 
					be 2012, Outbreak or Dante's Peak.  Godzilla is 
					without a doubt her 
					all-time favorite.
 Everyone knows I 
					am strange, so any information revealing that Marla might be 
					a little strange too apparently comes as no surprise to 
					anyone. Everyone remarks about how "weirdly compatible" we 
					are, and then they roll their eyes. I haven't figured out if 
					they are giving us a compliment or trying to tell us to do 
					society a favor and seek help.
 I first began to suspect Marla had a dark side when I 
					noticed how drawn she was to Salem Village back 
					on our 2006 New England cruise.  Draw your own 
					conclusions.
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					Stephen King, of 
					course, is Marla's favorite author along with Anne Rice.  Few people know 
					this, but Marla wanted us to get married at the Stanley Hotel 
					in Estes Park, Colorado. The Stanley Hotel is this amazing 
					old hotel that is rumored to be haunted. Stephen King said 
					that the spooky night he spent at the Stanley Hotel gave him 
					the 
					inspiration to write The Shining.  
 And what is Marla's favorite TV show?  The Zombie 
					classic Walking Dead.  
					Marla goes deep into mourning every time the show ends a 
					cycle. She frantically asks, "When will it return?"
 And what is the 
					number one night of the week for Marla? Saturday. Can you 
					guess why? 
					Because Saturday is the night when the Sci-Fi Channel debuts a 
					new disaster movie.  Marla can barely wait.  If 
					there is a monster or a meteor, she's all in.
					 I love to tease 
					Marla about her morbid streak, but let's face it, I am just 
					a half-step behind her. Truth be told, I like monsters and disaster 
					movies too.  |  |  
			
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					Given our twisted natures, I suppose it is no accident that 
					both Marla and I are both powerfully drawn to the Titanic 
					story.
 In my opinion, 
					an opinion probably shared by many others, the sinking of the Titanic is the 
					"Disaster of all Disasters". I have pretty 
					much taken the Titanic's celebrity for granted for a long 
					time.  Thanks to the recent 100th Anniversary of 
					the sinking, the Titanic has been on my 
					mind.  To me, the 
					Titanic remains the yardstick against which all other 
					disasters are measured.   Stop and think 
					about it. If something terrible happens and it is bad 
					enough, sooner or later it gets compared to the Titanic 
					disaster. Anytime there is another disaster, what do we say? 
					"It was a Disaster of Titanic proportions." 
					 But one day I began to wonder "why" 
					I believe the 
					Titanic became the most famous.  What are the reasons?  After all, the 
					Titanic is not the deadliest disaster of all time by a long shot.  
					Nor is it the worst disaster of all time.  Nor the 
					costliest.  Nor do I even 
					think the 
					Titanic changed the world the most.  Nevertheless, I 
					still think the Titanic is the most famous. 
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					So why have I been 
					thinking so much about the Titanic lately? Recently a Welsh 
					travel agent named Miles Morgan put together a Titanic 
					Memorial Cruise to commemorate the 100th Anniversary of the 
					disaster.  Morgan rented two cruise ships - one leaving 
					from Southampton UK and the other leaving from NYC - and 
					invited people who are descendants of Titanic passengers and 
					Titanic buffs around the world to participate.  The two 
					ships would meet at the Titanic grave site in the North 
					Atlantic to hold a service commemorating the event. Marla and I were 
					fortunate to be asked to be the guest dance teachers on one 
					of the two ships that sailed in April 2012.  Thanks to 
					our somewhat twisted natures, we didn't not hesitate to 
					accept. The moment Marla 
					and I stepped onto the Azamara Journey, we were swept away 
					by the solemnity of the occasion. Sure, there was some play 
					and laughter, but there were also a lot of people on this 
					ship who took the Titanic event very seriously. Far from 
					being the "Fun Ship", this cruise trip had the large shadow 
					of tragedy hanging like a dark curtain in the back of our 
					minds. 
 Every day for seven straight days I meditated on the Titanic 
					disaster. The organizers did something very clever - they 
					dedicated one of the TV channels to show Titanic 
					documentaries on a 24-hour loop. When they ran out of 
					documentaries, they showed replays of the informative 
					Titanic lectures that took place daily on the ship.
 
 I spent every spare moment in my cabin watching those 
					videos. With the Titanic tragedy playing non-stop in my 
					mind, I tried my best to make sense of it all. There were so 
					many angles to consider that I had trouble wrapping my mind 
					around the totality of the experience. I have been in a fog 
					ever since.
 During the trip, 
					I realized just how deep the fascination with the Titanic 
					story runs with many people besides myself.  But why?  
					Why is there so much interest in this story?   
					Let's explore.  |  
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					THE 
					DIFFERENT KINDS OF DISASTERS Disaster stories 
					have a curious and very powerful hold on our consciousness.  
					As a rule, human beings are deeply fascinated by all good 
					disaster stories. However, there have been so many different 
					disasters to consider, I had to ask myself why the Titanic 
					story clearly rules above all the others.  So I began 
					to review various disasters in my mind.  Shortly before the Titanic sank in 1912, the 
					1900 Galveston hurricane and the 1906 San 
					Francisco earthquake were the most riveting stories of the 
					Twentieth Century.
 In the years to come there would be all sorts of new 
					disasters. I rattled a bunch of them right off the top of 
					my head - Chernobyl, Three Mile Island, Challenger, Mt Saint 
					Helens, Exxon Valdez, the Lusitania sinking, and the 
					Hindenburg dirigible disaster were among the most 
					captivating stories of our previous century.
 
 More recently we have 9-11, Hurricane Katrina, Deep Water 
					Horizon plus the colossal Indonesian and Japanese 
					tsunamis.
 
 I began to realize there are all 
					kinds of disasters.  For this story, I identified 
					twelve different types.
 How do you compare them?  
					Good question.  Let's start by reviewing the 
					categories.  One warning - put your seat belt on.  
					This material is very depressing.  |  
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					NATURAL 
					DISASTER - DISEASE |  
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					One criterion to 
					judge by would be the number of fatalities. The Titanic 
					disaster is nowhere near the worst. Not even close. The Black Death 
					plague of 1348 that spread throughout Europe claimed at 
					least 75 million lives, possibly even 200 million. 
					 In second place 
					comes the Spanish Flu Pandemic of 1918.  This outbreak 
					claimed at least 50 million lives... and probably more.  
					The USA lost 675,000 people... our worst national disaster ever. I can find no 
					other disaster on my list that even begins to approach these 
					two morbid totals.  The question is: does "Disease" 
					count as a disaster?  I say yes. I doubt anyone 
					will disagree with me on this one.  Anything that kills 
					the population of Europe to the tune of 30-60% is an 
					enormous disaster!!  They say it took 150 years for 
					Europe's population to recover from this gruesome plague. Personally, I 
					consider the Black Plague to be the worst disaster in 
					history.  Just the picture alone makes me shudder.
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					NATURAL
					DISASTER - FLOOD The dubious 
					honor for most deaths by flooding goes to China.  In 
					fact, China claims the top 3 spots.  Make that the top 
					4 spots.  In fact, China has 7 of the 10 worst floods 
					of all time. The 1887 Yellow 
					River flood took between 1 and 2 million lives.  
					 44 years later, 
					China was hit with another flood that was far worse.  
					The 1931 flood is considered to be the worst flood in 
					history (assuming we aren't counting the Noah's Ark flood).  The 1931 flood 
					is estimated to have taken an astounding total of 
					2,500,000–3,700,000 lives.  
					 Sadly, just 
					seven years later, China was hit with yet another flood.  
					The 1938 flood took almost a million people. 
					 I have no idea 
					why these Chinese floods claimed so many lives.  I 
					understand that China is the most heavily populated country 
					in the world, but China also has mountains.  
					Floods usually give some warning.  Couldn't the 
					population have sought higher ground?  
					 By comparison, 
					the 1927 Mississippi River flood that is considered the 
					worst in American history cost 246 lives. |  
	
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			In terms of damage, the 
			flood in New Orleans caused by Hurricane Katrina was the costliest 
			flood in American history. 
			35% of the New Orleans 
			Metropolitan Area sits below sea level.  The city is protected 
			by hundreds of miles of levees and flood gates.  Unfortunately, 
			the levee system failed catastrophically in numerous sections during 
			Hurricane Katrina.  Tens of billions of 
			gallons of flood waters outside the levees spilled into vast areas of New Orleans, flooding 
			over 100,000 homes and businesses.  This resulted in the 
			inundation of 80% of the metropolitan area.  The depth of the 
			water ranged from a few inches to as high as 27 feet in the coastal 
			communities. Obviously someone forgot 
			to stick their finger in the dike.  Speaking of fingers, 
			naturally there was a lot of finger pointing. In the end, everyone 
			agreed the primary cause of the flooding was inadequate design & 
			construction by the Corps of Engineers. This is a common theme 
			in many disasters - when man's attempt to control nature fails, many 
			people die.  For 
			example, China's Banqiao dam ruptured in 1975.  170,000 people 
			lost their lives.  11 million people lost their homes. 
			 When technology and 
			Nature compete, Nature often wins. |  |  
	
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			NATURAL 
			DISASTER 
			- 
			VOLCANO As Disasters go, surely 
			the most spectacular of all have to be volcanic explosions.  
			The fire, the smoke and the lava are gripping images.  
			To my mind, the most famous 
			disaster of the ancient times has to be Vesuvius. Located in a 
			densely populated area, the 79 AD eruption at the height of the 
			Roman Empire vaporized an entire city in a flash.  16,000 
			people perished quickly as the city of Pompeii was buried under a 
			flood of lava and rock. The eruption of Vesuvius 
			remains locked in all our minds as the perfect example that none of 
			us are ever totally safe.  Disaster can hit anyone anywhere at 
			any time.  That said, death by volcano can probably be avoided 
			by moving to places where there are no volcanoes.  Speaking of Vesuvius, 
			during my Titanic research I found a blurb on the Internet that 
			suggests James Cameron intends to make a movie about Vesuvius. Where 
			do I buy the tickets?  In 1883, a volcano 
			located near Indonesia exploded with so much force that the entire 
			island of Krakatoa was completely vaporized. Even to this day, the 
			explosion is considered to be the loudest sound ever heard in modern 
			history, with reports of it being heard 3,000 miles away. One of the most violent 
			events ever witnessed, Krakatoa is sometimes called the "Modern 
			Vesuvius".  36,000 people lost their lives.  The eruption of Mt. 
			Saint Helens in 1980 was pretty spectacular, but in terms of loss of 
			life, only 57 people died.   As a rule, volcanoes are not 
			big killers, but Marla informs me there is a super volcano at 
			Yellowstone that one day may take us all out.  How cheerful. 
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					DISASTER - 
					EARTHQUAKE As Disasters go, 
					few disasters scare us more than Earthquakes.  
					California residents have lived their entire lives in fear 
					of the Big One.  Unfortunately, they have a reason to 
					be afraid because they keep getting reminders that the 
					scientists aren't kidding.  Some very 
					powerful earthquakes have not caused much trouble. It all depends on 
					where they hit.  When an earthquake hits in a heavily 
					populated area, it becomes a serious killer.  There was an 
					earthquake in 1556 in Shanxi province China that took almost 
					a million lives. That holds the record for casualties.
					
 The second biggest killer of all time goes to Haiti.  
					However there is an asterisk involved.  The Haitian 
					government pegs the death toll from the 2010 earthquake at 
					315,000.  That said, independent sources put the total 
					between 45,000-85,000.
 
 That is quite a discrepancy. Surely there is a story there.
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					The most famous 
					earthquake in US history has to be the San Francisco 
					earthquake of 1906.  Although the death total was not 
					too bad at 3,000, the amount of destruction was unbelievable.
 Just to give an 
					idea, the damage suffered by San Francisco in 1906 is considered 
					comparable to what New Orleans went through with Katrina. 
					 The San 
					Francisco earthquake and Hurricane Katrina are considered to 
					be the second and third worst natural disasters in US 
					history.  Want to guess which is the worst?  I'll 
					get to it in a minute.  Interestingly, 
					the San Francisco earthquake was not even remotely the most 
					powerful 
					earthquake in US history.  It comes in at 
					#16 in strength, but first in terms of damage.  
					 You probably already know this, but the ten worst 
					US earthquakes all took place in Alaska.  
					 The Anchorage 
					earthquake of 1964 was one of the strongest earthquakes in 
					world history.  However, only 9 people died.  
					 As they say in 
					real estate, location is everything.  |  |  
			
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					NATURAL
					DISASTER - HURRICANE In the case of 
					the San Francisco earthquake, it wasn't just the quake 
					itself that caused so much damage.  It was the fire 
					that followed.   Similarly, it 
					wasn't the violent winds that damaged New Orleans.  In 
					fact, Hurricane Katrina gave New Orleans at best a glancing 
					blow.  Katrina saved its worst for Mississippi.  
					It was the flooding that destroyed New Orleans.  
					 To this day, 
					Hurricane Katrina is the "costliest" natural disaster in US 
					History.  However, the death toll was not as bad 
					as San Francisco's 3,000.  The death total comes in at 
					1,800.  The Katrina disaster stands at 9th place on 
					the death list.  The 
					second-deadliest storm to strike the United States, the 1928 
					Okeechobee Hurricane, caused more than 2,500 deaths.  
					So what holds the number one spot? The worst 
					natural disaster in US history was the Galveston Hurricane 
					of 1900.  Somewhere between 6,000 and 12,000 people 
					lost their lives.  That makes the Galveston Hurricane of 1900 the deadliest natural disaster 
					in US history.  This storm was 
					quite a tragedy.  
					At the end of the 19th century, the city of Galveston, 
					Texas, was a booming town with a population of 37,000 
					residents.  Simple math suggests 
					that close to 25% of the population died that day. There were two 
					reasons why so many people died in Galveston in that 
					terrible storm.  One reason is that Galveston was 
					defenseless.  Since its formal founding in 1839, the 
					city of Galveston had weathered numerous storms, all of 
					which the city survived with ease.   Residents believed any 
					future storms would be no worse than previous events. |  
			
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					Oddly enough, meteorologist Isaac Cline, the so-called hero of the storm 
					("Isaac's Storm"), wrote an article in the 1891 Galveston 
					Daily News that said the same thing.  In his article he argued not only that a seawall was 
					not needed to protect the city, but also that it would be 
					impossible for a hurricane of significant strength to ever 
					strike the island.
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					Since Cline was 
					the Galveston Weather Bureau section director, his word 
					carried a lot of weight.  Consequently, the seawall was 
					not built.  Galveston was growing. Development on the island 
					greatly increased its vulnerability to storms.  Sand 
					dunes along the shore were cut down to fill low areas in the 
					city, removing what little barrier there was to the Gulf of 
					Mexico. However, the 
					main reason for the death count was the element of surprise.  
					No one had any idea 
					a hurricane was coming.  A few forecasters knew a 
					"tropical storm" had moved northward over Cuba, but they had 
					no way in those days to know where the storm was going.  
					They assumed it was heading to Louisiana.
 Meanwhile conditions in the Gulf of Mexico were ripe for 
					further strengthening of the storm. The Gulf had seen little 
					cloud cover for several weeks.  Now the seas were as 
					warm as bathwater. For a storm system that feeds off 
					moisture, the Gulf of Mexico was warm enough to super-charge 
					the storm from a tropical storm to a Level Four hurricane in just a 
					matter of days.
 The Cubans 
					warned the Americans to watch out for this storm, but no one 
					took them seriously.  Furthermore, back in those days, 
					authorities avoided the use of terms such as 'tornado' or 'hurricane' to 
					avoid panicking residents in the path of any storm event. As a result, there was no evacuation and no preparation.
 Early the next morning, there were growing swells that 
					should have got someone's attention.  However the skies 
					were only partly cloudy. Largely because of the 
					unremarkable weather, the majority of the population was 
					unconcerned by the rain clouds that had begun rolling in by 
					midmorning.  When the hurricane hit at 5 pm, everyone 
					was caught flat-footed.  Once the 140 mph winds rolled in, 
					only God could save those people now.
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					NATURAL
					DISASTER - 
					TSUNAMI If you are an 
					American, chances are you never even heard of the word 'Tsunami' 
					until the terrible Indonesian tsunami of 2004.  
					 That said, 
					apparently there have been a few American tsunamis. The USA even holds the record 
					for the tallest tsunami ever 
					recorded.  A 220 feet wave hit Alaska in 1964 after the gigantic Anchorage Earthquake.  The seismic 
					tsunami wave hit the southwest part of the state and claimed 
					107 lives.
 Hawaii sees an occasional tsunami. On April 1, 1946, 
					all of the water mysteriously drained from the 
					three-mile-wide harbor at Hilo.  Minutes later, a 
					tsunami rushed onshore, destroying the waterfront. The 
					process repeated itself twice. More than 150 people died in 
					the process.
 That said, no 
					major tsunami has ever struck continental USA.   |  
			
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					The same 
					cannot be said for Europe.  The Great Lisbon Earthquake 
					of 1755 was followed by massive fires.  Lisbon, the 
					capital of Portugal, was in for a surprise. The fires turned 
					out to be the least of their worries.  The city was 
					already reeling when a tsunami hit that almost totally 
					destroyed Lisbon.  Estimates 
					place the death toll in Lisbon around 100,000, making 
					it one of the deadliest earthquakes in history. 
					
					Interestingly, 
					the Lisbon event was not the worst tsunami in European history.  
					An earthquake off the coast of Messina, Italy, in 1908 
					triggered a massive tsunami in the Mediterranean.  
					40-foot waves struck southern Italy on December 28, 1908, making 
					it one of the deadliest natural disasters in European 
					history.  The death total was 123,000. 
					 Historically, 
					the Indian Ocean has very little experience with tsunamis.  
					That is strange in light of the fact that the worst tsunami 
					in history was the infamous 2004 Indonesian tsunami.  The earthquake that 
					generated the great Indian Ocean tsunami of 2004 is 
					estimated to have released the energy of 23,000 
					Hiroshima-type atomic bombs.  
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					Over centuries, giant forces had been building up 
					deep in the Earth.  
					On December 26, 
					2004, that tension was released suddenly 
					in a matter of moments.  The epicenter of 
					the earthquake was near Sumatra, the main island of 
					Indonesia.  The ground began shaking violently.  
					A series of killer waves were 
					unleashed that raced across 
					the Indian Ocean at the speed of a jet airliner. 
					The waves moved too fast to warn people in other countries.
					 By the end of the day more than 150,000 people were 
					dead or missing.  Millions more were homeless in 11 
					countries, making the 2004 event the most destructive tsunami in 
					history.  Unfortunately, just seven 
					years later, an even worse tsunami occurred.  
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					Japan is 
					certainly no stranger to tsunamis. In fact, "tsunami" is 
					actually a Japanese word. Japan is hit by a tsunami at least 
					once a year. This island nation considers these giant waves 
					to be a national plague.  Tsunamis occur most 
					frequently in the Pacific, particularly along the "Pacific 
					Ring of Fire ". Several times a year, earthquakes of at 
					least 7 on the Richter scale result in tsunamis. Despite its long 
					history with tsunamis, Japan was practically defenseless 
					when the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake hit. This was the most 
					powerful known earthquake to ever hit Japan.  It was so 
					strong that it was one of the five most powerful earthquakes 
					in the world since modern record-keeping began in 1900.  
					The earthquake triggered powerful tsunami waves that reached 
					incredible 
					heights of up to 133 feet.  16,000 people died.   As anyone who 
					saw the pictures knows, the level of devastation was 
					phenomenal. The World Bank's estimated economic cost was US 
					$235 billion, making it the most expensive natural disaster 
					in world history.  The tsunami caused a number of 
					nuclear accidents, primarily the Level 7 meltdowns 
					at three reactors in the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power 
					Plant complex.  
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					NATURAL 
					DISASTER 
					- 
					METEOR
					So why are we all so afraid of a meteor? 
					 I think I know a 
					reason.  We know we have a fighting chance to 
					survive a tsunami, earthquake, hurricane, or volcanic eruption. But most of us doubt seriously we could 
					survive a direct hit from a giant meteor.  
					
 We are all aware that
					an "impact event" as they call it is the 
					most likely reason for the disappearance of the dinosaurs.
 Approximately 65 
					million years ago, the dinosaurs suddenly experienced some 
					sort of "extinction event".  The nature of 
					the event that caused this mass extinction has been 
					extensively studied since the 1970s. At present, the 
					consensus is that a meteor crash in Mexico's Yucatan 
					Peninsula was the primary cause of 
					dinosaur extinction. Personally 
					speaking, if I want to have an "event", I would much rather 
					go to a Texans Super Bowl than experience an "extinction 
					event" or "impact event".  However, I may not have a 
					choice.  |  |  
			
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					Any meteor crash would probably make any 
					arguments about why the Titanic is the most famous disaster 
					somewhat pointless. This horror is one of the ways 
					that human life on Earth could conceivably
					end.  However, are we all 
					getting worked up over nothing?
 They say the odds of an asteroid strike is 
					one-in-a-million.  Still, while I 
					understand it is far more likely I could be hit by lighting 
					than harmed by an asteroid, it 
					would to nice to go to my grave knowing my loved ones are 
					okay and that the human race will continue.
 We all know very well that  
					million-to-one odds aren't too bad, but then again the Earth 
					has been here for eons.  How are we supposed to know if 
					an asteroid is due or not?  Having the spooky Mayan 
					calendar pointing its cycle-ending hand to "2012" doesn't help our 
					confidence.
 
 If we make it through 2012, then we need 
					to circle "2027".  Scientists are monitoring
					a killer asteroid known as Apophis.  
					Are you superstitious about Friday the 13th?  If so, 
					this will make you sit up in your chair. On Friday 
					the 13th, April 2029, the Apophis asteroid 
					will dip below the altitude of our communication satellites. 
					 If its trajectory on that day passes within a narrow range 
					of altitudes called the “keyhole,” then the influence of
					the Earth’s gravity on 
					the asteroid orbit 
					could be fatal.  There would be a 
					strong chance that seven years later on its next trip around the Sun, the 
					asteroid will hit Earth directly in 2036.
 However, if Apophis 
					misses the keyhole in 2029, we’ll have nothing to worry 
					about in 2036.  Fortunately for all of us, the Earth has 
					a wonderful defense shield against small asteroids.  
					Thanks to our atmosphere, an 
					asteroid smaller than 33 feet that hits the atmosphere will 
					not make it down to the Earth's surface, nor will it affect 
					anything that happens on the ground in any meaningful or 
					destructive way.  All you get 
					is a shooting star.  |  
			
				| 
					How often do we get an asteroid 
					larger than about 10 meters hitting the Earth? About once 
					every thousand years.
 We are "fortunate," depending on 
					your definition of fortunate, to have had one 
					hit only a century ago.
					
					The Tunguska 
					event was an enormously powerful explosion that occurred in 
					Siberia in June 1908. 
					 The explosion is believed to have been 
					caused by the air burst of a large meteor or comet fragment 
					at an altitude of 3 to 6 miles above the Earth's surface.
					 Although 
					the meteoroid or comet burst in the air before hitting the 
					surface, this event is referred to as a meteor impact event.  
					Tunguska instantly became the largest impact event in 
					recorded history.
					 Estimates of the 
					energy from the blast suggest it was 1,000 times more powerful 
					than the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima. We should all 
					consider ourselves lucky that it hit an area that was 
					largely uninhabited although I am sure the Siberian wolves 
					wouldn't agree.  |  |  
			
				| 
					WAR-RELATED
					DISASTER - 
					GENOCIDE |  
				| 
					If 
					Genocide can be considered a disaster, the fatality totals 
					of the natural disasters pale in comparison to human 
					atrocities.  When he concentrates hard enough, Man is a 
					much more effective killer than Mother Nature. 
					 Man's cruelty to 
					man knows few limits. In the Twentieth Century, there were 
					seven Genocide situations that counted their victim totals 
					in the millions.  Stalin, 
					Hitler, Mao, Japan, Belgium, Turkey and Cambodia were the 
					parties responsible.  Rwanda came close. Although the 
					more recent situations in Bosnia and Sudan are lamentable, 
					they are low on the list at 100,000 each. At 20 million 
					some deaths, I had always assumed Stalin was the league leader.  
					However, the real all-time champion appears to be Mao Tse Tung.  Thanks in large part to his 
					disastrous agricultural experiments, China is estimated to 
					have lost between 49 to 78 million people during Mao's reign 
					of terror. 
 Sorry to bring up such a depressing topic, but I don't think 
					we can turn a blind eye and sweep these atrocities under the 
					carpet.
 |  |  
				| 
					
						| 
							Mao Ze-Dong (China, 1958-61 
							and 1966-69, Tibet 1949-50)  | 
							49,000,000
							- 78,000,000  |  
						| 
							Jozef Stalin (USSR, 
							1932-39)  | 
							23,000,000 (the purges plus 
							Ukraine's famine)  |  
						| 
							Adolf Hitler (Germany, 
							1939-1945)  | 
							12,000,000 (concentration 
							camps and civilians WWII)  |  
						| 
							Leopold II of Belgium 
							(Congo, 1886-1908) | 
							8,000,000  |  
						| 
							Hideki Tojo (Japan, 
							1941-44) | 
							5,000,000 (civilians in 
							WWII)  |  
						| 
							Ismail Enver (Turkey, 
							1915-20, Ottoman Empire)
							 | 
							1,200,000 Armenians (1915)350,000 Greek Pontians 
							(1916-22)
 480,000 Anatolian Greeks (1916-22)
 500,000 Assyrians (1915-20)
 |  
						| 
							Pol Pot (Cambodia, 1975-79)
							 | 
							1,700,000 |  
						| 
							Jean Kambanda (Rwanda, 
							1994)  | 
							800,000  |  
						| 
							Sudan 
							and Bosnia 
							Source:
							
							Worst Genocides of the 20th Century
							 | 
							100,000
							each |  |  
			
				|  |  |  
				| 
					
						|  | WAR-RELATED
					DISASTER - 
						NUCLEAR WEAPONS 
 |  |  
				|  | 
					
					The 
					detonation of the atomic bomb at Hiroshima was a deeply sobering 
					event for all Mankind.  The fact that 
					man was capable of building a weapon with this kind of power 
					meant that humans now had the ability to destroy every living 
					thing on this planet.
 Now I am 
					positive that I don't want to see nuclear weapons ever used 
					again and I am fairly sure most of you agree with me.  
					However, what difference 
					does it make if 5,999,999,999 people out of 6 billion are 
					totally against ever using this bomb again?  The 
					section on Genocide painfully demonstrates that 
					many people who hold power are hardly humanitarians. Today our safety 
					depends on a concept known as MAD - Mutually Assured 
					Destruction.  This concept states that if one country 
					attacks another with nuclear weapons, the second country 
					will retaliate.  If things get out of control, the 
					nuclear fallout assures that everyone will die eventually. 
					This scenario is so horrible that rational people will never 
					use nuclear weapons. The flaw in this 
					concept is that it assumes rational men are in charge. The fact that madmen 
					like Hitler and Saddam seek positions of power is not a comforting 
					thought. It only takes one lunatic to start the eight ball 
					rolling.  To me, Hiroshima 
					was a disaster.  Yes, I am glad it ended the war 
					quickly. Yes, I am aware that more people would have died 
					had we ended the war by invading Japan.  I am not 
					debating the moral issues here. I am simply 
					pointing out that 80,000 people were incinerated.  That more than 
					qualifies this event as a "Disaster".   |  
			
				| 
					The Hiroshima 
					Disaster had far-reaching consequences.  Basically it 
					meant that from here on out, no one was safe. 
					Thanks to a 
					variety of delivery systems - missiles, bombers, drones and 
					"suitcase nukes" - every person on Earth could die in a 
					flash without even knowing it was coming.
 Now in a sense 
					every single person on the planet lives next to Vesuvius.  
					Not that it matters.  No matter where the bombs land, 
					the radiation poisoning will catch up to us all 
					eventually.
 Today we worry 
					about Iran getting a nuke.  We worry about an Al-Quaida 
					operative getting a Pakistani nuke or buying radioactive 
					material from a disgruntled Russian.  Or maybe some nut 
					case in North Korea will lose it all.  Fanatics don't 
					care if they go down too. 
					 Although we don't 
					like to think about it, the world is not a safe place.  
					And if you think I'm worried, imagine how the Israelis feel?  
					 |  |  
			
				|  |  |  
				|  | 
					
					WAR-RELATED
					DISASTER - 9-11
					It has been ten years now.  But I 
					still think about 9-11 every day.  I can't escape it.  
					Someone will say something about a terrorist on TV or I will 
					read something in the paper and my mind will drift back to 
					9-11.   Like Hiroshima, 
					9-11 was a game changer of the highest magnitude.  I 
					think the 9-11 disaster changed the world more than any 
					other disaster in history. This 
					terrorist attack would affect the entire planet.  Air 
					travel suddenly became a lot more dangerous.  Our world 
					would never be the same.  Anyone who is 
					sick of taking their shoes off in airports or being told to 
					throw away a perfectly good tube of toothpaste will surely 
					agree.   9-11 lowered 
					our trust level towards our fellow man.  Any single 
					person in an airport could be dangerous.  Any man or 
					woman with a suntan became a person of suspicion.  
					Anyone with a keffiyeh headdress was surely a threat. 
					 Thanks to 9-11, 
					our lives became a race of sorts.  Would we get to the 
					terrorists 
					before they got to us?  We were scared! 
					 |  
			
				| 
					9-11 proved we had very dangerous enemies.  Even worse, these 
					were evil people who made no sense to us.  Their barbarism 
					was impossible to comprehend. They beheaded 
					journalists who had never raised a hand to them and they 
					blew up innocent people who were no danger to them.  
					Their hatred knew no limits.  All they seemed to care about was annihilating the USA.
 Americans stopped wearing the white hats for 
					a while.  We became paranoid.  We were suspicious 
					of people who had once been our friends.  We had no idea how 
					many bad guys were out there and what they were 
					capable of.  We went to war because we thought our 
					enemies had the ability to destroy our country.  
					 It once took the 
					senseless sinking of the Lusitania luxury liner to draw us 
					into World War I.  It took the cowardly sneak attack on 
					Pearl Harbor to draw us into World War II.  It took the 
					surprise attack on the Twin Towers to spur us to action 
					again.  If nothing else, 
					the USA has shown one thing to the world. If you hit us, we will 
					hit back... and harder than you ever imagined. Now ten years 
					later, we can point with relief to the fact that there have been no more 
					successful attacks on our soil.  Obviously we must have 
					done something right.  If this means I need to keep 
					taking my shoes off at airports, then so be it.  
					 9-11 was the 
					disaster that started another world-wide war.  So far 
					our side appears to be winning.  Let's hope it 
					continues.   I for one am 
					grateful to our amazing military for risking their lives to 
					keep America safe.  Still, you know and I know the 
					fanatics are still out there.  We can never let down 
					our guard. I therefore give 
					my dubious award for the worst disaster of all time to both 
					Hiroshima and 9-11.  These two terrible events made our 
					planet a tough place to ever feel totally safe again. 
					 |  |  
			
				| 
					
					MAN-MADE
					DISASTER - NUCLEAR MISTAKESCHERNOBYL, THREE MILE ISLAND, FUKUSHIMA
 |  
				|  | 
					I have listed 
					death totals in the millions with regularity. I turn a blind 
					eye to these horrible body counts because they are just 
					numbers. However this disturbing 
					picture makes it harder to ignore the human cost. It is one thing 
					to see a volcano explode and run for dear life.  At 
					least when it's over, it's over.  Radiation is the 
					invisible assassin that remains behind to kill. 
					 There is a lot 
					of fear surrounding the possible failure of nuclear 
					reactors.  I am sure there are millions of Japanese 
					right now scared to death.  Will they will develop some 
					form of the dreaded disease 
					cancer?  Will they give birth to deformed children thanks to the 
					unseen dangers of radiation released in the Fukushima 
					reactor meltdown?  The paranoia must be unbearable.  Chernobyl was a 
					Russian nuclear reactor located in the Ukraine.  On 
					April 26, 1986, Reactor #4 suffered a catastrophic power 
					increase which lead to core explosions.  Large quantities of radioactive fuel and core materials 
					were released.  The burning graphite moderator increased the 
					emission of radioactive particles which were carried by the smoke 
					into the air. Incredibly, the reactor had not been encased 
					in any kind of hard 
					containment vessel.  |  
			
				| 
					As the explosion and 
					fire released large quantities of radioactive contamination 
					into the atmosphere, everyone was too shocked to think to warn 
					the nearby city of Pripyat. 
					Pripyat was not 
					immediately evacuated after the incident. The townspeople 
					went about their usual business, completely oblivious to 
					what had just happened.  However, within a few hours of the 
					explosion, dozens of people fell ill. Later, they reported 
					severe headaches and metallic tastes in their mouths, along 
					with uncontrollable fits of coughing and vomiting.
 Due to the intense levels of radiation that lingered, the 
					city of Pripyat had to be permanently abandoned.  Today 
					it is a ghost town that stands as a grim reminder to the 
					Chernobyl disaster.
 |  |  
			
				|  | 
					Chernobyl is the 
					worst nuclear power plant accident in history. The disaster 
					was the equivalent of 400 Hiroshimas.  This mean four hundred 
					times more radioactive material was released into the 
					atmosphere than had been 
					by the atomic bombing of Hiroshima.   The fallout 
					spread over much of Western USSR and Europe.  The battle to 
					contain the contamination and avert a greater catastrophe 
					involved over 500,000 workers and cost an 
					estimated 18 billion rubles. This crippled the Soviet economy.  
					Some say Chernobyl did more to end the Soviet Empire than 
					anything Ronald Reagan ever said or did.  Now that 25 
					years have passed, the scientists are in a better position 
					to assess the long-term consequences of the disaster.  
					Wikipedia has a long section on the subject. There was a 
					report in 2005 saying that thyroid cancer among children was 
					one of the main health impacts from the accident. More 
					than 4,000 cases are reported. A rough estimate suggested that 
					cancer deaths caused by Chernobyl may reach a total of about 
					4,000 among the 5 million persons residing in contaminated 
					areas during the explosion.
 One of the saddest effects is psychological.  
					"20 
					years later the population remains largely unsure of what 
					the effects of radiation actually are.  They retain a 
					sense of foreboding.  A number of adolescents and young 
					adults who have been exposed to modest or small amounts of 
					radiation feel that they are somehow fatally flawed. Given 
					their negative outlook, there is no downside to using 
					illicit drugs or having unprotected sex.  They engage 
					in much self-destructive behavior because they say they are 
					doomed anyway. To reverse such attitudes and behaviors will 
					likely take years to correct."
 Chernobyl and 
					Japan's Fukushima are the only two Level 7 events on the International Nuclear Event Scale, 
					but fear of more accidents has put a damper on the industry.  |  
			
				| 
					Edgar Cayce, the 
					American mystic who saw all history in a trance, 
					described Atlantis as a highly evolved civilization with ships and aircraft powered by a mysterious energy 
					crystal. This crystal was also part of a highly destructive 
					"death ray".  Cayce said that 
					Atlantis was lost due to a frightening meltdown caused by 
					the explosion of the energy crystal.
 I found it 
					interesting that the Cayce readings spoke of the existence 
					of the advanced technology in Atlantis. His account of the 
					final days of Atlantis seemed to eerily parallel our own 
					struggle to avoid destroying our planet with a nuclear 
					holocaust.
 Cayce said when the island was destroyed, its refugees fled 
					to ancient Egypt as well as pre-Columbian America. Cayce 
					said the pyramids on both continents were built using 
					technology from Atlantis. This was 
					his explanation for the similarities between the Yucatan 
					pyramids and the Egyptian pyramids.
 Obviously I am in no 
					position to confirm this story, but it is a fascinating 
					tale nonetheless. After Hiroshima and Chernobyl, we all have to 
					wonder if modern man is on the verge of repeating the 
					mistakes of ancient Atlantis. Any Boomer who remembers the 
					Cuban Missile Crisis is certainly familiar with this theme.  
					Will man come to his senses and put down his weapons or will 
					we all die in some fiery Apocalypse?  
					 If it can happen 
					to Atlantis, it can happen to us.   |  |  
			
				| 
	
		|  |  
		| 
			MAN-MADE
					DISASTER - OIL CATASTROPHESEXXON VALDEZ, DEEPWATER HORIZON, AND KUWAIT
 |  
		| 
			Like the frightening Chernobyl 
			explosion, Exxon 
			Valdez and Deepwater Horizon serve as further warnings to man's 
			inability to control his own technology.
			Massive environmental 
			disasters like oil tankers sinking and oil rigs exploding plus the 
			threat of the "China Syndrome" are painful reminders that human 
			stupidity and carelessness can trump human cleverness a lot more 
			often than we are comfortable with.  Exxon Valdez is the most famous oil spill disaster because it was 
			simultaneously one of the first 
			and one of the worst.  On March 24, 1989, the 
			oil tanker Exxon Valdez ran aground on Bligh Reef in Prince William 
			Sound, Alaska. The tanker was traveling outside the normal shipping 
			lanes in an attempt to avoid ice. It spilled 11 million gallons of 
			oil (out of a total cargo of 53 million gallons) into the marine 
			environment.  As the oil spread, it impacted more than 1,100 miles of  
			Alaskan coastline.  Until Deepwater Horizon twenty years later in 2009, this would 
			be the largest oil spill in U.S. history. The oil industry had 
			gotten permission to drill for oil in environmentally sensitive 
			Alaska based on their firm promise to be totally safe.  Nothing 
			would ever go wrong.  Promises, promises.  
			Considering the spill occurred in a fragile, highly important 
			habitat for salmon, sea otters, seals and seabirds, the entire world 
			was outraged.   Three days after the 
			vessel grounded, a storm pushed large quantities of fresh oil on to 
			the rocky shores of many of the beaches in the Knight Island chain.
			 The images of countless 
			dead fish and helpless birds covered with oil-slick was too much to 
			take for a lot of people.    Unfortunately, the oil 
			slick proved difficult to contain.  Within two months, the 
			slick had spread 470 miles to the southwest.  Considering 
			pristine, snow-white Alaska was America's symbol for natural beauty, 
			the disgust and loathing was overwhelming. Slowly but surely the 
			facts of the disaster were revealed.  The captain was confirmed 
			to be asleep when the ship crashed.  At the helm, the third 
			mate was operating without radar.  People asked why the 
			radar was not turned on. In fact, the tanker's radar had been broken 
			more than a year before the disaster. Exxon 
			knew about the problem.  In Exxon's view, the radar was just too 
			expensive to bother fixing. With one story of 
			negligence and carelessness after another coming to surface, a 
			venomous torrent of anger was directed at the Exxon oil company.  
			The company tried hard to pin it all on the Captain, but the story 
			about the radar ended that.  Just when people thought 
			this level of carelessness and stupidity could never possibly 
			be repeated, we had the terrible Deepwater Horizon event. 
			 In September 2009 at a 
			spot in the Gulf of Mexico approximately 250 miles southeast of 
			Houston, the deepest oil well in history was drilled.  Seven 
			months later on 20 April 2010, an explosion on 
			the rig caused by a blowout killed 11 crewmen and ignited a fireball 
			visible from 35 miles away. The resulting fire could 
			not be extinguished.  On 22 April 2010, Deepwater Horizon sank, 
			leaving the well gushing at the seabed. This caused the largest 
			offshore oil spill in US history. Outrage turned to horror when it was learned that the oil spill could not be capped. The very 
			fact that this was the deepest oil well in history made it very 
			difficult to get to.   Unfortunately, like 
			the Exxon Valdez disaster, this new oil spill took place in an 
			environmentally-sensitive area off the coast of Louisiana.  
			Ultra-valuable fishing areas off the coast all the Gulf States were 
			being incredibly damaged, but nothing could be done.  People 
			were sick with disgust as the mucky oil continued to flow out of the 
			underwater hole day after day after day.   Five months later, the 
			well was finally capped.  Finally.  So who was to blame?  
			A 2011 report stated that the main cause was the defective cement 
			job.  It put most of the fault for the oil spill with British 
			Petroleum, also 
			faulting Deepwater Horizon operator Transocean and contractor 
			Halliburton. This catastrophic 
			accident raised serious questions about the oil industry's ability 
			to ensure its safety.  Over the past 15 years, oil companies 
			have drilled deeper and farther into the Gulf of Mexico, taking on 
			new risks in the hunt for new deposits of oil.
 The experts point out that industry safeguards to prevent or 
			minimize spills have failed to keep pace with the increased dangers 
			of the risky exploration, despite a series of warnings, malfunctions and 
			near-misses over the years.
 Strangely, the worst oil 
			spill in history was not caused by caused by an accident or 
			negligence.  It was deliberately caused by Saddam Hussein of 
			Iraq in the First Gulf War.   The oil fires of Kuwait 
			were caused by Iraqi military forces setting fire to more than 600 
			oil wells as part of a scorched earth policy.  The fires 
			started in January and February 1991. The last one was 
			extinguished in November 1991. People asked why Saddam 
			would deliberately create this terrible environmental disaster.  
			The conclusion most people reached was that he wanted to continue to punish the 
			Saudis, Kuwatis and 
			the West for foiling his invasion.  The sheer scope of this 
			senseless destruction was difficult to fathom.  
			 For some reason, we can 
			all understand running a tanker against a reef or doing a sloppy 
			cement job on an oil rig, but to willfully sabotage the Earth out of 
			spite is incomprehensible.  Saddam was surely a madman in every 
			sense of the term.   Saddam Hussein was 
			clearly a monster of the first magnitude.  His actions raised 
			the question - what was Saddam capable of doing if he got hold of 
			biological weapons or nuclear material?  The Second Gulf War was 
			based on the quite real possibility that Saddam had weapons of mass 
			destruction.  This man would have been more than happy to 
			destroy the whole planet if he had the power to do so.  He made 
			that clear with his actions in Kuwait.  If he couldn't win, he 
			would leave a path of destruction to remember him by.   Nor was 
			Saddam some sort of aberration.  Monsters like Saddam have existed 
			throughout history. For example, Caligula and Nero were the main 
			reasons the Romans feared using the Emperor system.  Hitler 
			deliberately sent millions to their death without any conscience.  
			Mao, and Stalin allowed millions of their own countrymen to die 
			without concern.  Power 
			corrupts.  Monsters exist.   Saddam is the perfect 
			example of the insanity we all fear.  There are human beings 
			who are so sick they would destroy the entire Earth if it suited 
			them.   Evil has existed throughout time.  During the Mongol 
			invasions in the 13th century, these Asian savages would stop at the 
			gates of towns.  They demanded each town surrender immediately 
			or face extermination.  It was no bluff.  If the town resisted, at the end of the 
			day each Mongol soldier was given 20 civilians to personally kill in 
			cold blood.   Who can possibly guess 
			how many people died during the Mongolian genocide?  Some 
			estimates suggest that half the population of Asia was eradicated. 
			To this day, people blame the ancient Mongol blood for the 
			ruthlessness of Communist regimes in Russia and China.    None of us understands this level of ruthlessness, 
			but we know it exists.  |  
		 
		 
		 
		 
		 
		 |  |  
	
		|  |  |  
		| 
			MAN-MADE
					DISASTER - FLYING CATASTROPHESHINDENBURG, CHALLENGER, APOLLO 13
 |  
		| 
			The Challenger and Hindenburg disasters 
			were man-made 
					disasters caused by man's desire to test his limits in 
					the area of transportation. Apollo 13 came very close to 
					being another terrible disaster along these same lines. 
			
 The Hindenburg and the Titanic share a very close tie. Both 
					the dirigible and the luxury liner were on the cutting edge 
					of transportation technology. These two accidents were tragic 
			outcomes as man struggled to master new forms of 
					technology.
 The 1937 Hindenburg 
			Disaster was caused by a sudden fire that started just as the 
			dirigible was landing in New Jersey. With hundreds of 
			onlookers and newsmen there to greet the massive airliner, the 
			Hindenburg disaster was caught on live film in New Jersey.  There is an amazing one minute video showing men running for 
					their lives from the burning wreck and passengers screaming. 
					If you have never seen the footage, you need to see it - 
			
			Hindenburg Disaster.  You will get goose bumps just 
			listening to the terror in the announcer's voice. The incredible footage 
			scared the wits out of everyone.  Thanks to the horror of the 
			live footage, the Hindenburg accident ruined the dirigible 
			industry.  After that, no one would set foot on a dirigible again. 
			After watching the tape, I can't blame them. To me, Challenger and Apollo 13 are not necessarily examples 
					of human carelessness, but rather risky and quite noble 
					attempts to expand the horizons of our knowledge. 
			 The 
					engineers at NASA were trying as hard as they could to make 
					these space launches safe.  Our astronauts knew they were 
					taking chances.  I always say test pilots are the bravest 
					people on earth - they are willing to fly someone else's 
					experiment knowing full well they might not come back. 
 Unfortunately, sometimes there are flaws in the design that 
					have to be discovered "the hard way". For example, with 100 
					years to study the Titanic, engineers have discovered the 
					Titanic had serious vulnerabilities its designers were only 
					vaguely aware of. For example, as I studied the reasons why 
					the Titanic sank so fast, one person said the "16 watertight 
					compartments" that were supposed to be on the cutting edge 
					of safety design were totally ineffective.  New 
			technology always carries risk.
 
 As man strives to explore his horizons, trial and error is 
			unavoidable. However, we 
					usually assume the kinks are worked out ahead of time... 
			certainly not on a 
					luxury liner's maiden voyage or the second season of 
					dirigible flight.
 
 Although it is a shame to see Challenger and Titanic fall to 
					pieces in such a spectacular fashion, it is of some comfort 
					to know that in both cases the engineers made sure to learn how to do it 
					better the next time.  Man refuses to accept defeat.
 
 We fail 
					and we try again.
 
 Man's willingness to use his mind to improve his standard of 
					living is what has put us at the top of the food chain. 
					However, when you look at the wide-spread environmental 
					destruction, the curse of over-population, genocide. and the threat of 
					nuclear winter, you have to wonder if man has 
					the accompanying wisdom to go along with his scientific advances.
 
 Man's pioneering attitude often seems to race ahead of his 
					common sense. Will man's bold desire to conquer all 
					obstacles destroy us all through nuclear weapons or 
					environmental decay?
 Or will man's courage allow us to 
					someday fly through space with the same ease that 
					airplanes cross our continents today? No one knows the answer.  
			Right now it could go either way. |  
		 
		 |  |